LikeFolio Weekly Roundup
Robinhood (HOOD) delivers, and Bitcoin (BTC) is coming soon 401(k)’s
Andy Swan
August 08, 2025
This week, signs emerged that President Trump’s trade policy may be paying off, earnings continued to move the market, and news that Bitcoin (BTC) is coming soon 401(k)’s sent crypto and DeFi stocks at large soaring. Here’s the breakdown.
The U.S. trade deficit narrowed significantly in June, decreasing 16% to $60.2 billion – a two-year low – as imports of consumer goods dropped and exports of capital goods surged.
President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs took effect Thursday, with countries like Switzerland now facing a sky-high 39% duty, and India facing an even steeper 50% rate set to take effect later this month.
The market seemed unfazed. The S&P and Nasdaq 100 are set to end the week higher regardless.
Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on AI chips not made in the U.S. triggered a midweek rally for tech stocks, such as Nvidia (NVDA) and Apple (AAPL), which have pledged to invest hundreds of billions into U.S.-based manufacturing (and would therefore be exempt).
Apple gained more than 7% on the news, boosted by reports it plans to spend an additional $100 billion to its initial $500 billion commitment, and remarks from Trump suggesting the iPhone maker could skirt by Indian export tariffs.
Earnings season raged on in the background, revealing which sectors are getting hit the hardest by tariff turmoil.
On the losing side: Automaker Toyota (TM) took a $3 billion hit to its operating income in the first quarter – and expects its profits could be slashed by as much as $10 billion for the year.
On the winning side: LikeFolio’s bullish earnings calls on Shopify (SHOP) and Celsius Holdings (CELH) paid off in a big way.
SHOP flew to 52-week highs as its AI-powered commerce strategy proved profitable. The company saw Q2 revenue surge 31% year over year to $2.68 billion, driven by strong 30% growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV).
CELH, meanwhile, soared 20% on an outstanding showing from its newly acquired energy drink brand, Alani Nu. The company delivered an 84% revenue jump to a record $740 million for the quarter, handing members of Earnings Season Pass a quick triple-digit profit opportunity. Congrats to Richard L., who wrote in to let us know he banked a +297% gain in one day playing CELH earnings. Nice work!
While stocks at large moved higher this week, investor uncertainty grew. The latest AAII Investor Sentiment Survey for the week ending August 6 revealed a stark increase in bearish outlooks, which climbed to 43.2% from the week prior’s 33% -- eclipsing bullish sentiment by a wide margin.
We’re entering a notoriously volatile period of the year for stock prices. But as the “September Slump” approaches, we’re not just sitting on the sidelines. We’re building our watchlist so you’ll be ready to “buy the dip” as seasonal selloffs create deep discounts on high-quality stocks.
Check out this week’s Founder’s Call to discover LikeFolio’s top three accumulation opportunities for the September Slump.