LikeFolio Weekly Roundup

We’re capping off the week with a MAJOR win for Earnings Season Pass players. 

We closed our Bearish NFLX trade for +104% gain in 5 days – very impressive. 

NFLX was our ESP Trade of the Week.

We still have several weeks left in this quarter – if you aren’t a member and want to be, you can find more information below:

Join Earnings Season Pass

Aside from NFLX, stocks rallied this week following June’s CPI report, which showed headline inflation rose 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY, while core CPI (excluding food & energy) came in at +0.2% MoM and +2.9% YoY. 

Markets viewed the print as relatively benign: inflation remains above target but isn’t accelerating, allowing the Fed to stay on a data-dependent path. That softer core reading weighed on Treasury yields, with the 10-year note dipping from mid-week highs, and the dollar weakened, triggering a rally in risk assets such as tech, crypto, semiconductors, and small-caps (many in our MegaTrends portfolio – we’ll hit on those wins below).

Here’s an overview of the biggest news and largest movers in our portfolio through close on Thursday, July 17:

Infinite Hold Update 

Bitcoin: Bitcoin cooled off slightly today after topping $120K earlier this week, but the pullback follows one of the most policy-driven rallies in recent memory.

The House passed three key crypto bills on Thursday, including the GENIUS Act (stablecoin regulation), the CLARITY Act (market structure), and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (prohibiting a Fed-issued digital dollar). All three now await President Trump’s signature. The votes weren’t close. GENIUS passed 308–122 in the House and 68–30 in the Senate, signaling broad bipartisan support.

The GENIUS Act is particularly important for Bitcoin holders. It codifies reserve and audit standards for stablecoins, reducing systemic risk in on-chain liquidity. The CLARITY Act further defines the regulatory roles of the SEC and CFTC, removing legal gray zones that have stalled capital flows. Traders are watching closely to see how quickly Trump signs the measures into law, but the legislative momentum is already priced as a long-term win for digital assets.

The short-term price dip appears technical. BTC continues to benefit from strong institutional interest, favorable policy tailwinds, and the weakening of CBDC narratives among U.S. lawmakers. 

We see Bitcoin as the ultimate crypto winner. 

Tesla (TSLA): Tesla shares rallied today as investors responded to the U.S. Commerce Department’s ruling on Chinese graphite imports. The new decision slaps a 93.5% anti-dumping duty on certain graphite materials from China, on top of pre-existing tariffs. Total duties now approach 160%. 

This benefits Tesla long-term, since it has already taken steps to localize graphite and battery material sourcing. Analysts estimate the cost impact per EV at only ~$200, making the news more favorable than punitive. Domestic graphite suppliers soared on the ruling, reinforcing the idea that Tesla’s vertical integration is a relative advantage heading into Q3.

The stock held strong all week, outperforming major indexes, and now trades near $328.

On the consumer front, TSLA sentiment is rising alongside Grok integration.

We’re also tracking an uptick in forward-looking web visits, currently trending +8% higher MoM.

Expect a full earnings breakdown this Sunday as part of Earnings Season Pass.

Amazon (AMZN): 

Amazon headlines this week centered on AI expansion and internal restructuring. In its smart-home division (Ring, Blink, Sidewalk), employees are now required to demonstrate active AI use to qualify for promotions, a move that accelerates internal AI adoption. Meanwhile, AWS cut several hundred jobs after a strategic review. Leadership said AI was not the primary driver, though automation is clearly reducing labor needs in some areas.

At the AWS Summit in New York, Amazon launched several new tools, including a customizable Nova chatbot, an upgraded Amazon Q (AWS’s generative AI assistant designed specifically for business users), and a secure framework for deploying AI agents. These launches build on a strong Q1 for AWS, which posted 17% revenue growth and a 23% jump in operating income.

Earnings are scheduled for the end of the month. 

Portfolio Update

Aurora (AUR): +22%

Aurora Innovation shares rallied sharply this week, outperforming broader indices thanks to index reclassification tailwinds. As of the end of June, Aurora was added to multiple value-focused Russell benchmarks. That shift appears to have drawn fresh interest from institutional investors and value-aligned funds. We remain bullish on its autonomous logistics technology.

Oklo (OKLO): +19%

Nuclear play OKLO continues to gain steam, rising nearly 20% over the last six days as it makes progress toward its first commercial Aurora powerhouse. Wall Street is starting to catch on to the potential we saw back in April – the stock recently joined the small-cap benchmark, the Russell 2000 Index (RUT), and is increasingly getting coverage at investment firms. 

This week’s move brings our gain on OKLO to +168% in less than three months.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): +9%

AMD rallied after several analyst upgrades and sector momentum at large, raising the bar ahead of August earnings. The company is ramping shipments of its MI355X AI chips, which are expected to drive datacenter GPU growth through the second half of 2025.

Investors are also watching the rollout of AMD’s fifth-gen EPYC “Turin” CPUs. The stock is gaining on confidence in roadmap execution and enterprise demand across both GPU and CPU segments.

On the demand front, web visits are up +32% YoY and continue to outpace the stock’s move higher. 

SoundHound (SOUN): +9%

SoundHound AI extended its rally this week as it continues expanding real-world deployments of its voice AI platform. The company announced a new partnership with Peter Piper Pizza, rolling out voice AI phone ordering across all Arizona and Albuquerque locations. The system handles multiple calls at once, reduces wait times, and improves staff efficiency, delivering clear ROI as restaurants move toward automation.

The Trade Desk (TTD): +8%

Our favorite digital ad stock joined the ranks of the S&P 500 Index at market open today, and the build up to its inclusion helped lift shares 8%. 

The Netflix report was a strong vote of confidence for TTD this week. Did NFLX shares sell off?

Yes, exactly as we predicted. The stock was a bit overbought and a good-but-not-great-report ushered in a healthy pullback.

But advertising growth was strong and is the major driver of NFLX growth. On its earnings call the CFO noted ad sales have already grown ahead of expectations for this time of the year and are still on track to double by the end of 2025.

TTD is one of Netflix’s core advertising partners. 

We like this set up ahead of TTD earnings next month. 

Andy and Megan detailed the Trade Desk in depth on this week’s Founder’s Call, including why it’s our favorite play in Streaming right now. 

Check it out below:

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