The hidden plays from NVDA earnings call
Two buried details from the Q4 earnings call reveal where the next wave of AI profits may come from — and which stocks are best positioned to ride it.
NVIDIA (NVDA) just reported what can only be described as a masterclass in exceeding expectations. Revenue of $68.1 billion crushed the $66.2 billion consensus estimate. Adjusted earnings per share of $1.62 sailed past the $1.53 Wall Street had penciled in. And the guidance? A jaw-dropping $78 billion midpoint for the current quarter — nearly $6 billion above what analysts were modeling.
Yet as of Thursday morning, NVDA stock was only modestly higher and actually fell as much as 3.4% intraday before recovering. That disconnect between blockbuster results and a muted stock reaction tells us something important: the market has priced in the headline story. The real alpha for investors isn't in what NVIDIA reported. It's in the details most people skimmed past.
Let's dig in.
The Numbers That Matter
NVIDIA's data center segment — which now accounts for over 91% of total revenue — delivered $62.3 billion in the quarter, up 75% year over year. The company has scaled this business by nearly 13x since the launch of ChatGPT in early 2023. Net income nearly doubled to $43 billion. Free cash flow was $35 billion in the quarter alone and $97 billion for the full fiscal year. That's not a tech company. That's a cash-printing machine.
CEO Jensen Huang framed the moment in characteristically bold terms, declaring that the "agentic AI inflection point has arrived" and that computing demand is "growing exponentially." CFO Colette Kress added that NVIDIA expects to exceed its previously stated $500 billion in Blackwell and Rubin chip revenue through the end of calendar 2026, with supply commitments extending into 2027.
For the hyperscaler watchers: capex expectations for the top five cloud providers have climbed by roughly $120 billion since the start of the year and are now approaching $700 billion. That's the ocean NVIDIA is swimming in.
Here's the detail that should make investors sit up straight: NVIDIA's networking revenue hit $11 billion in Q4, up more than 3.5x year over year. For the full year, networking exceeded $31 billion — up more than 10x compared to fiscal 2021, the year NVIDIA acquired Mellanox.
This is no longer a side business. It's becoming a pillar.
The growth is being driven by NVIDIA's NVLink scale-up fabric and Spectrum-X Ethernet switches, which are essential for connecting the massive GPU clusters that power modern AI. Huang put it plainly on the call: NVIDIA is now "the largest networking company in the world." Every rack NVIDIA ships comes with nine switch nodes, each containing two or more chips. The amount of networking silicon per rack is, in Huang's words, "really quite incredible."
Why does this matter for investors? Because networking has structurally higher margins than GPU silicon, it's stickier (customers don't easily swap out interconnect fabric), and it creates a platform lock-in effect that extends NVIDIA's moat. Spectrum-X was called "a home run" by Huang — and AWS is now integrating NVLink with its own custom silicon, suggesting NVIDIA's networking can win even when it doesn't sell the GPU.
This is the business-within-a-business that will keep compounding even if GPU competition intensifies.
The second buried gem? NVIDIA's Professional Visualization segment. Revenue surged 159% year over year to $1.32 billion — shattering the $755 million that analysts expected. It also jumped 74% sequentially. This was the first time this segment ever crossed the $1 billion mark in a single quarter.
What's driving it? The rollout of Blackwell-architecture workstation GPUs and the DGX Spark, NVIDIA's compact AI workstation designed to bring data center-class AI to the desktop. Think about what this means: enterprise adoption of AI is no longer just a "cloud story." Companies are now purchasing physical AI hardware to run models locally — for privacy, speed, and cost reasons.
This segment is still small relative to data centers, but 159% growth at this scale signals a new demand vector. It tells us that AI is penetrating the enterprise far faster than consensus models assume. Analysts had this segment growing roughly 56% — NVIDIA nearly tripled that estimate.
This is the canary in the coal mine for enterprise AI adoption, and it just started singing.
The Bear Case You Need to Hear
No honest analysis is complete without the risks. And there are a few worth watching.
First, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) just signed a monster deal with Meta Platforms (META) — potentially worth up to $100 billion over five years — to supply 6 gigawatts of AI compute using AMD's MI540 GPUs and next-gen CPUs. Meta even received warrants for up to 10% of AMD's shares. This happened just two weeks after Meta struck a separate deal for millions of NVIDIA GPUs. The message is clear: the hyperscalers are building a multi-vendor future. NVIDIA's pricing power has a ceiling.
Second, NVIDIA's gaming segment dropped 13% sequentially to $3.7 billion, with CFO Kress explicitly flagging supply constraints as a headwind "in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and beyond." Memory shortages are forcing NVIDIA to prioritize AI chips over gaming GPUs — which means the company's consumer brand could lose some shine.
Third, China remains a wildcard. NVIDIA confirmed it has not generated any revenue from H200 chip sales to China-based customers, despite small government-approved amounts. Kress went further, warning that Chinese competitors "have the potential to disrupt the structure of the global AI industry over the long term."
And finally, the stock's muted reaction tells a story. NVDA is trading roughly where it was six months ago. Options markets had priced in only a 5.6% swing — the smallest expected post-earnings move in three years. The market may be entering a "show me more" phase for AI.
The Opportunity Map: Stocks and ETFs to Watch
NVIDIA's earnings don't just move NVDA. They send ripples across the entire AI ecosystem. Here's where we see the most compelling setups:
Bull Plays
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